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The Worst Januaries Since 1970 and How the S&P 500 Fared Thereafter
It’s official; the S&P 500 lost 5.07% in January. The S&P 500 suffered January losses of 5% or more seven other times since 1970. Here are four charts that show how the S&P fared the full year after dismal January performances.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500: The Tug of War Between the Need of New Lows and ‘Magnet’ Highs
The S&P 500 is stuck between a rock and a hard place. Some indicators suggest further weakness; other indicators provide a bullish tailwind. Here’s the S&P path that satisfies most requirements and sets up the best opportunity.... >> READ MORE...
 
Spike in Selling Climaxes Leads to S&P 500 Reversal Week
Last week’s rollercoaster swings caused an unusually high number of selling climaxes, which resulted in bullish reversal candles for the S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and Russell 2000. ... >> READ MORE...
 
Some Investor Sentiment Gauges Reach Panic Levels
How often can the S&P 500 follow the same script? What script? Drop into the 1,800s and rally. Investor sentiment is bearish enough to spark yet another rally, but will the fourth rendition of the same script bear (pun intended) a surprise?... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Forecast - Crash Wave Update
The S&P 500 lost as much as 9.75% over ten trading days. Although such declines are rare, there are enough precedents to discern a pattern of how the S&P 500 performs following such ‘rogue wave’ declines.... >> READ MORE...
 
VIX is Following 2014/2015 Pattern
The VIX saw two massive spikes in less than a month. This is unusual (at least for most the post 2009 QE bull market), but it also happened in 2014/2015. Here is the 2014/15 pattern and the indicators that suggested a repeat this time around.... >> READ MORE...
 
How January Mis-fires Affect Stocks
Stocks have been misfiring at a time of year that’s known for its bullish seasonal bias. Such pronounced weakness in late December/early January is quite rare, in fact it happened only three other times. Here’s how the S&P 500 fared thereafter.... >> READ MORE...
 
Santa Claus Rally is Just Chatter
This is the season where the Santa Claus Rally is a popular topic of discussion. “If Santa Claus should fail to call, bears may come to Broad and Wall,” or so the saying goes. Statistically, it’s better to just ignore the Santa Claus Rally chatter.... >> READ MORE...
 
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