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Contrarian Indicator? Longer-term VIX Fears Far Outweigh Short-term Concerns
It is a sign of complacency when investors are less concerned about 1-month volatility (VIX) than 3-month volatility (VXV). Has this ‘there’s no stumbling block for the next 3 months’ attitude been a contrarian indicator?... >> READ MORE...
 
The Biggest Reason to Worry about Stocks Right Now
We don’t have to look hard to find reasons to worry. However, the biggest stock market concerns have been around for months without any impact. Ironically, the most pressing concern is largely unseen and unreported.... >> READ MORE...
 
Should We be Worried about ‘Smart Money’ Leaving Stocks?
Uh-oh. The ‘smart money’ is selling stocks. It rarely pays to bet against the smart money, which includes insiders and hedgers with deep pockets and big research budgets. Should we be worried about their stock market exodus?... >> READ MORE...
 
I Spy … A Weekly Red Candle S&P 500 High. Bearish?
For the first time since December, the S&P 500 suffered a weekly red candle all-time high. The same thing happened nine times since October 2011. Here’s how the S&P 500 fared thereafter. ... >> READ MORE...
 
What Happened? Wasn’t Falling Oil Supposed to Sink the Stock Market?
The biggest Wall Street fear in December/January was that falling oil prices would sink the stock market. Here we are, many weeks later, and U.S. stocks are trading at all-time highs. What happened?... >> READ MORE...
 
 
Dow Jones Averages Did Not (Yet?) Confirm S&P 500 Highs
The S&P 500 scored new all-time highs, but none of the major Dow Jones Averages (DJI, DJT and DJU) confirmed this move. There’s also another reason why it may not be a smart move to chase the S&P 500 break out.... >> READ MORE...
 
Gold Seasonality and Sentiment Turned Frosty
I became a self-proclaimed gold bull in early November, but a number of developments have put the fledgling gold bull market in jeopardy. Smart money traders and gold seasonality suggest more down side risk.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Seasonality About to Hit Weak Pocket
Seasonality is not the only force to drive stocks, but it’s one of the indicators I follow. The S&P 500 seasonality chart (based on 64 years of history) shows four notable weak spots, one of them is in February.... >> READ MORE...
 
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