In late April an avalanche of doomsday financial headlines hit the airwaves. The expectations ranged from a 20% correction to an outright crash. A few weeks later the S&P 500 is at new all-time highs. Where is the promised crash?... >> READ MORE...

Sometimes the oddest correlations make the best forward-looking indicators. This is certainly the case with lumber and the housing market. Here’s what this odd but accurate indicator ‘sees’ ahead for U.S. real estate.... >> READ MORE...

This is at least the second double digit million dollar bet on the VIX this year. The first one paid off big, but the odds of this $13 million dollar trade turning profitable aren’t quite as good. Here are four reasons why:... >> READ MORE...

The VIX is trading near 7-year lows and two VIX ETFs are at all-time lows. Many are itching to buy the VIX and while such a trade may well be profitable, VIX seasonality provides another layer of information for a low-risk trade.... >> READ MORE...

It’s been rare for the Nasdaq to spend an extended period below the 50-day SMA. On Thursday the Nasdaq Composite (Nasdaq: ^IXIC) closed back above the 50-day SMA for the first time since April 4. Is this bullish or a bull trap?... >> READ MORE...

There’s a time to buy, a time to sell and a time to be patient. Most of 2014 falls into the ‘be patient’ category. What’s causing this extended trading range and how much longer can it go on?... >> READ MORE...

Here is a look at an indicator that has the distinct reputation of signaling the 2000 and 2007 meltdowns. This indicator obviously has a decent track record, but is today’s environment the same is in 2000 or 2007? Is another crash likely?... >> READ MORE...

Bears are powerful creatures, but they can get scared easily and may suffer from a fear similar to stage fright. Many media outlets have reported sightings of bears, but when everyone expects its appearance, it fails to show.... >> READ MORE...

Health insurance premiums are going up, service is going down. The U.S. healthcare system is sick. Here is my own experience, chronicling the two biggest reason why healthcare costs are spiraling out of control.... >> READ MORE...

Since late 2013, the S&P 500 has been ‘boxed in’ by well-defined support/resistance levels. This explains 4-months of range bound trading activity. Here is the S&P 500 ‘chopping box zone’ along with key near-term support and resistance.... >> READ MORE...