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One Measure of Investor Optimism Hits Extreme Low
It’s been quite a while since we’ve seen any newsworthy sentiment extremes, so the 2-year low in investor optimism is a welcome change. Here’s how the S&P 500 has reacted to similar lack of optimism in the past.... >> READ MORE...
 
Small Caps Lead Market – Good or Bad Omen?
Small cap stocks are often portrayed to be the engine that pulls the train. Throughout 2014 they were lagging, and now they are leading. Is there recent outperformance bullish for the overall market? ... >> READ MORE...
 
VIX Says: S&P 500 Traders Getting Too Callused
During the unstoppable rally of 2013/2014 investors were overly sensitive and panicked almost every time the S&P 500 corrected. The recent selloff however was greeted with almost callus disregard. Is this bearish?... >> READ MORE...
 
I Spy … The Most Insightful AAPL Chart
Apple is the most important stock in the investment universe and deserves extra attention. The AAPL chart shows how to navigate the contradiction between bullish AAPL seasonality and the ‘Dow Jones induction curse.’... >> READ MORE...
 
Short-term S&P 500 Forecast
It’s not the first time we’ve seen this movie. Stocks fall, and become oversold. Buyers step back in, and erase some of the prior losses. A look at the S&P 500 chart and buying/selling pressure provides clues on whether there’ll be new lows.... >> READ MORE...
 
Is the S&P 500 Carving Out a Major Market Top?
Imagine an indicator that not only telegraphed every market crash in recent decades, it also ‘told’ investors to stay long and strong from 2010 until now. No need to just imagine, sometimes dreams do come true.... >> READ MORE...
 
How Low Can the Euro Go?
One of my predictions for 2015 was for the euro to rally. It almost looked as if the euro would do just that in late January, but it relapsed. Is the proposed euro rally plain wrong or just delayed? ... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Falls Below Important Support Level
The S&P 500 sliced below a key support level on Friday. This was followed by a 20-point decline short-term, but does it matter longer-term? Here are two charts that may have the answer. ... >> READ MORE...
 
Contrarian Indicator? Longer-term VIX Fears Far Outweigh Short-term Concerns
It is a sign of complacency when investors are less concerned about 1-month volatility (VIX) than 3-month volatility (VXV). Has this ‘there’s no stumbling block for the next 3 months’ attitude been a contrarian indicator?... >> READ MORE...
 
The Biggest Reason to Worry about Stocks Right Now
We don’t have to look hard to find reasons to worry. However, the biggest stock market concerns have been around for months without any impact. Ironically, the most pressing concern is largely unseen and unreported.... >> READ MORE...
 
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