At 58 months of age, the QE bull market is getting old and its ‘immune system’ is obviously getting weak. That’s bad timing as a powerful 7 and 13 year cycle begins to exert extremely bearish force. Can the bull fight off the bear ‘virus’?... >> READ MORE...

The S&P 500 has corrected more than 5% and the financial media is quick to pretend that it saw the lousy 2014 start coming. Here’s the media’s real time (embarrassing) assessment of the ‘expected’ rout along with what’s next.... >> READ MORE...

Investors buy Amazon for its founder’s vision and ingenuity, not because the company is a cash cow. The problem with a ‘vision based investment,’ and a four-digit P/E ratio is immense down side risk once momentum wanes.... >> READ MORE...

Early warnings that 2014 will be a tough year are piling up quickly. Here is another warning that suggests additional losses. Since 1950, the average additional loss once the signal triggered has been 10.9%.... >> READ MORE...

Much of the country is dealing with extreme cold, and seasonality is getting frosty for gold. The gold seasonality chart produces three or four good annual buy/sell signals. One just happened.... >> READ MORE...

There are helpful statistics and there are bogus statistics. This is a helpful one and it actually confirms the message of a variety of other indicators. In the process we also clear a big misconception. ... >> READ MORE...

Believe it or not, gold is one of the best performing asset classes of 2014, but today’s drop is the biggest this year. Here’s the simplest explanation of today’s drop and why eventual new lows are likely.... >> READ MORE...

Market’s sold off following the Fed’s taper announcement and Wall Street was bracing for lower prices, but this trusty little VIX indicator triggered a surprising signal.... >> READ MORE...

Talk about a classic catch 22. The Federal Reserve has been buying Treasuries to depress interest rates and spark the economy. With a bloated balance sheet, the Fed needs the help of its arch enemy to unload assets.... >> READ MORE...

Trading is tough business, but trading the VIX is even tougher, because you are betting ‘against the house’ many times. Here’s how to avoid the force that eats into your profits and make it work for you.... >> READ MORE...