Gold has been full of surprises as the humorous chart shows. Since the European Central Bank (ECB) announced QE, gold sold off (although its allegedly the number one inflation hedge). Is gold rolling over again?... >> READ MORE...

Trend following indicators worked like a charm for the trending market of 2013 and 2014, but 2015 is shaping up to be quite different. The times of ‘no 5% correction in over a year’ are over, and the market is working harder on shaking out weak hands.... >> READ MORE...

The Granddaddy of commodity indexes is at major chart support. Although this index tracks 19 different commodities, oil is the MVP and accounts for 23%. Could this be an indication that oil is nearing a bottom.... >> READ MORE...

Databases can search and sort ETFs according to region, expense ratio, assets under management, trading volume, etc. But no database will tell you the more important little intricacies that differentiate the best from the worst.... >> READ MORE...

Here’s an obvious question: QE did wonders for U.S. stocks. Will European QE do the same for European stocks? History suggests yes, but there are reasons to hold off or postpone buying Europe ETFs. Here’s why:... >> READ MORE...

European QE is here. There’s a spirited debate about whether it will work or not (just as there was in the U.S.). Based on domestic QE, we know what it can and cannot do. Here’s one of the biggest traps we’ve learned from U.S. QE.... >> READ MORE...

Some indicators are so simple and rudimentary they just can’t work … or so some think. This analysis shows the merit of the KISS (keep it simply stupid) principle and the tell tale sign of a bull market not ready to give up.... >> READ MORE...

The 30-day Federal Funds Rate is in essence the base rate for all other U.S. interest rates. How the ‘smart money’ feels about the future of the Federal Funds Rate often provides a window into the future for the S&P 500.... >> READ MORE...

The VIX indicator has been so accurate; I dubbed it the ‘incredible VIX indicator.’ But now it puts me into a predicament. The incredible VIX indicator does not jibe with my overall outlook. Here’s what it says and how to make sense of it (possibly).... >> READ MORE...

The S&P 500 has lost over 100 points since its December high. The decline is oversold by at least one reliable measure, but a number of other indicators point still lower. Here’s the most likely outcome.... >> READ MORE...