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What Happened? Wasn’t Falling Oil Supposed to Sink the Stock Market?
The biggest Wall Street fear in December/January was that falling oil prices would sink the stock market. Here we are, many weeks later, and U.S. stocks are trading at all-time highs. What happened?... >> READ MORE...
 
Dow Jones Averages Did Not (Yet?) Confirm S&P 500 Highs
The S&P 500 scored new all-time highs, but none of the major Dow Jones Averages (DJI, DJT and DJU) confirmed this move. There’s also another reason why it may not be a smart move to chase the S&P 500 break out.... >> READ MORE...
 
Gold Seasonality and Sentiment Turned Frosty
I became a self-proclaimed gold bull in early November, but a number of developments have put the fledgling gold bull market in jeopardy. Smart money traders and gold seasonality suggest more down side risk.... >> READ MORE...
 
S&P 500 Seasonality About to Hit Weak Pocket
Seasonality is not the only force to drive stocks, but it’s one of the indicators I follow. The S&P 500 seasonality chart (based on 64 years of history) shows four notable weak spots, one of them is in February.... >> READ MORE...
 
Update: Will the S&P 500 Roll Over Again?
I was wrong! I expected the S&P 500 to rally from 1,990 to 2,080 and roll over to new lows. The rally happened, the subsequent reversal did not (at least not yet). Will the S&P 500 roll over later? Here’s an updated S&P 500 forecast.... >> READ MORE...
 
 
ETF and ETP Taxation Explained
Exchange Traded Products (ETPs) come in a variety of flavors. There are five different ETP structures and more than 30 different tax treatment combinations. Here’s ONE chart that makes sense of ALL the different tax treatments.... >> READ MORE...
 
Can the Nasdaq QQQ ETF Break out of a Bull Flag Pattern and Rally 10%?
A bull flag is described as a consolidation period that interrupts a sharp, almost vertical rally. QQQ had a sharp rally from the October low and a pro-longed consolidation period thereafter. The classic bull flag breakout target projects a 10% rally.... >> READ MORE...
 
Will New MidCap ETF Highs Propel All Stocks Higher?
The SPDR S&P MidCap ETF just soared to new all-time highs. The S&P 500 is still stuck within its trading range. Will the S&P 500 follow the lead of mid-cap stocks or did mid-caps just flash a false signal?... >> READ MORE...
 
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